Alabama continues as the top-ranked team in our system witha 47-23 win over South Carolina. Clemson bumped LSU out of the runner-up position based primarily on a stronger schedule, which is the same reason Oklahoma switched places with Georgia and now ranks third.
Texas made the biggest move as the Longhorns went from 19th to 13th based on analyses of performance trends.
Last week, our system was 55-13 (81%) in game predictions and now stands 189-37 for 84% accuracy on the season.
Some of our best predictions were:
Texas over Rice 46-14. Final was 48-13.
Army over UTSA 31-14. Final was 31-13.
Northwestern over UNLV 34-14. Final was 30-14.
Alabama over South Carolina 48-25. final was 47-23.
Boise State over Portland State 46-7. Final was 45-10.
In the PAC-12 . . .
Utah is the only ranked team from the South Division to make the rankings, although Arizona is a dark horse team to watch now that it has released Khalil Tate to run the football. Tate is averaging 307 yards of offense per game. However, Arizona must fix a porous pass defense that is giving up 373 yards per game and ranks one spot above dead last in the nation.
Arizona State‘s surprising win over Michigan State has the Sun Devils at 29th but not likely to stay there since they rank 111th for putting points on the board despite having already played an FCS opponent.
In the PAC-12 North, Oregon, Washington State, and Washington are ranked between 16th and 19th and all are showing strong trends in our system.
Cal‘s defense is as stout as we anticipated but the Bear offense is easy for defenses to scheme because Cal can’t muster any kind of a passing attack. Chase Garbers was 9-for-22 passing last Saturday, which is not worse than we expected but also won’t get much better. Throw a decent quarterback in there and the Bears become a threat to win the North.
Stanford is as perplexing as we thought it would be and seems likely to keep our preseason projection to lose four games in the month of September.
For a more comprehensive look at our rankings and game predictions, click here.
Our Top-25 for Week 4:
- Alabama (3-0)
- Clemson (3-0)
- LSU (3-0)
- Oklahoma (3-0)
- Georgia (3-0)
- Notre Dame (3-0)
- Florida (3-0)
- Ohio St. (3-0)
- Iowa (3-0)
- Penn St (3-0)
- Michigan (3-0)
- Auburn (3-0)
- Texas (2-1)
- Utah (3-0)
- Boise St. (3-0)
- Oregon (2-1)
- UCF (3-0)
- Washington St. (3-0)
- Washington (2-1)
- West Virginia (2-1)
- Virginia (3-0)
- Michigan State (2-1)
- Virginia Tech (2-1)
- N Carolina State (2-1)
- Wisconsin (2-0)