Three leg teaser – Seahawks ML, Seahawks vs Saints over 34.5, Oregon – 28 (+110)
Seahawks ML
Seattle has the advantage in nearly every key metric. Their defense leads the NFL with a 49.4% pressure rate while using only a 4-man rush 83.1 percent of the time — a nightmare for the Saints’ young QB Spencer Rattler. The Saints are 0-2 and now face a cross-country trip into one of the toughest environments in football at Lumen Field. Sam Darnold has been solid with a deep supporting cast of Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Cooper Kupp. New Orleans hasn’t shown enough on either side of the ball to threaten Seattle at home.
Seahawks vs. Saints Under 48.5
The Saints’ offense is among the league’s worst, lacking high-end talent and only averaging just 17 points per game. Expect them not to even get to 17 points on Sunday as they hit the road for the first time, a tough ask for a young quarterback against Seattle’s aggressive pass rush. The Seahawks also stayed under in their only home game this season, leaning on defense and the ground game to control tempo. A scoreline like 24–13 or 27–14 keeps this well below the total.
Oregon -28
The Ducks are simply on another level. They’ve won 17 straight home games and are averaging 54 points per game this season. Oregon has outscored opponents 96–6 in first halves and hasn’t allowed a single red-zone trip before halftime all year. Dante Moore is playing like a Heisman candidate, and Oregon State comes in winless, with a defense that surrenders 38+ points per game. Rivalry or not, the Ducks’ offensive firepower and dominant defense point to another blowout in Eugene.
Mariners vs Astros Under 7.5 total runs
This AL West showdown has the makings of a classic pitcher’s duel, and the numbers back the under.
Hunter Brown has been nothing short of dominant this season, carrying a 2.27 ERA into Friday’s matchup. Against Seattle specifically, he’s been sharp—allowing just three earned runs across two starts. He works deep into games, limits long balls (only 15 surrendered all year), and thrives at home.
Seattle counters with Bryan Woo, who’s arguably been their best arm in 2025. Woo is coming off a 13-strikeout gem in his last outing and has posted a 3.02 ERA with elite strikeout-to-walk numbers. Against Houston this season, Woo has held the Astros to an average of just two earned runs per start in two matchups, showing he can neutralize their lineup. A lineup that just took a massive blow with Yordan Alvarez spraining his ankle.
Both clubs have been trending toward low-scoring affairs when these starters are on the mound. Houston ranks 9th in team ERA, while Seattle sits 13th. Combine that with two pitchers who have consistently kept these exact lineups in check, and runs should come at a premium in this pivotal September game. With the teams tied atop the AL West, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and both Woo and Brown should bring their best stuff to the mound.
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