Welcome, Blazermaniacs, basketball junkies and fans of spreadsheet analysis alike. Boy, do I have a treat for you all today!
That’s right, tonight is opening night to another scintillating year of Portland Trail Blazers basketball, and that means one thing… overly detailed predictions that will make me look foolish sooner than later.
The Blazers bring almost the entire gang back, and are poised to make another run at the playoffs this year after squeezing in under the gun last season. And, while they bring the majority of that squad back, a flurry of big name pick-ups by pretty much every top team in the Western Conference make another playoff appearance far from a sure thing.
If they are to make it again, the Blazers are going to have to continue the high-level play they showed last season after acquiring star center Jusuf Nurkic if they hope to make a return trip to the NBA’s second season.
Not surprisingly, the first few weeks of the schedule will be crucial, as the Blazers look to take advantage of a (comparatively) easier slate of games and also capitalize on their continuity as other top teams work to integrate new players into their lineup.
If the preseason means anything, the Blazers are off to a good start as they have looked excellent in going 5-1 and seem to be a prime candidate to jump out to hot start early on.
Of course, the preseason means just about nothing, so, yeah. Hard to get too excited about that.
And even if it’s just for one game, starting the season without CJ McCollum (suspended for opening night for taking a couple steps away from the bench during a preseason altercation he wasn’t involved in) is less than ideal. Particularly so in a Western Conference were one win or loss could easily be the difference between a playoff berth and a sitting at home waiting for the draft come mid-April.
With that said, let’s take a look at the full 82-game schedule and do some prognosticating!
I’m going full out this year and projecting a result and final score for each and every game on the schedule. While this gives me ample space to be totally wrong about every single game, you will never hear the end of it if I nail even one of my predictions on the nose.
And, just because I know most people don’t really care what I think the score of future games will be, I included some hard-hitting analysis of a select few marquee matchups.
(Note: “hard-hitting analysis” may be replaced with snide remarks and/or lame jokes without warning.)
On to the predictions!
Game | Date | Team | Score | Opponent | Score | Result | |
1 | 18-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | Phoenix Suns | 104 | Win |
Blazers rally with star guard CJ McCollum sidelined for his rage issues, with a big night from Moe Harkless (20 points). Meyers tries to goad Alex Len into a fight… while firmly glued to the bench. Len ignores him, and instead commits a game-altering flagrant foul on Damian Lillard. Bad move, Alex. Dame Time: Initiated. | |||||||
2 | 20-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 114 | @ | Indiana Pacers | 96 | Win |
3 | 21-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 96 | @ | Milwaukee Bucks | 108 | Loss |
4 | 24-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 112 | vs | New Orleans Pelicans | 104 | Win |
5 | 26-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 102 | vs | Los Angeles Clippers | 99 | Win |
6 | 28-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 116 | vs | Phoenix Suns | 102 | Win |
7 | 30-Oct-2017 | Trail Blazers | 98 | vs | Toronto Raptors | 101 | Loss |
8 | 1-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 94 | @ | Utah Jazz | 98 | Loss |
9 | 2-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 108 | vs | Los Angeles Lakers | 99 | Win |
Blazers cruise to an easy win over Lonzo Ball and the Lakers behind 34 points from CJ McCollum and 4 blocks from the Bosnian Beast. After the game, LaVar Ball blames the loss on the Portland crowd: “Realistically you can’t win no basketball games with this many white people in the arena.” | |||||||
10 | 5-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | vs | Oklahoma City Thunder | 106 | Loss |
11 | 7-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 98 | vs | Memphis Grizzlies | 95 | Win |
12 | 10-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 109 | vs | Brooklyn Nets | 102 | Win |
13 | 13-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 114 | vs | Denver Nuggets | 115 | Loss |
14 | 15-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 111 | vs | Orlando Magic | 99 | Win |
15 | 17-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 104 | @ | Sacramento Kings | 102 | Win |
16 | 18-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 115 | vs | Sacramento Kings | 96 | Win |
Zach Randolph sits on the second night of a tough back-to-back due to “back stiffness.” Not exactly surprising for a guy in his 17th NBA season. That is, until Twitter blows up with numerous reports of Randolph taking in the game action, not from the bench, but from the rack… at Sassy’s. | |||||||
17 | 20-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 92 | @ | Memphis Grizzlies | 98 | Loss |
18 | 22-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 112 | @ | Philadelphia 76ers | 114 | Loss |
19 | 24-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 122 | @ | Brooklyn Nets | 106 | Win |
20 | 25-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 102 | @ | Washington Wizards | 112 | Loss |
21 | 27-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | New York Knicks | 88 | Win |
22 | 30-Nov-2017 | Trail Blazers | 98 | vs | Milwaukee Bucks | 99 | Loss |
Tough loss to start the home-stand, as Giannis Antetokounmpo steals the win with a game winning dunk…. From just inside the 3-point line. | |||||||
23 | 2-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 104 | vs | New Orleans Pelicans | 100 | Win |
24 | 5-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 108 | vs | Washington Wizards | 106 | Win |
25 | 9-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | vs | Houston Rockets | 122 | Loss |
26 | 11-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 88 | @ | Golden State Warriors | 112 | Loss |
27 | 13-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 105 | @ | Miami Heat | 108 | Loss |
After a long night of partying on South Beach, the Blazers come out flat, before rallying late behind a big 2nd half from Meyers Leonard (16 2nd half points, including 4/5 3-pointers), thanks in large part due to his glistening new tan. Not only is the a sign Meyers might be ready to finally turn his career around, it more importantly gives us hope that Neil Olshey might be able to dupe Pat Riley into thinking Meyers is actually a decent NBA player, greasing the wheels for a trade down the road. | |||||||
28 | 15-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 102 | @ | Orlando Magic | 104 | Loss |
Meyers gets more minutes after his big night in Miami, and puts up a scintillating 1/7 night, including allowing Nikola Vucevic to bank in a 3 at the buzzer, keeping up the duel tradition of heartbreaking losses to an undermanned Magic team and frustrating Meyers Leonard performances. | |||||||
29 | 16-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 112 | @ | Charlotte Hornets | 104 | Win |
30 | 18-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | Minnesota Timberwolves | 109 | Loss |
31 | 20-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 101 | vs | San Antonio Spurs | 96 | Win |
32 | 22-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 115 | vs | Denver Nuggets | 109 | Win |
33 | 23-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 108 | @ | Los Angeles Lakers | 104 | Win |
34 | 28-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 104 | vs | Philadelphia 76ers | 99 | Win |
Jusuf Nurkic and Joel Embiid battle all night in the post, putting up dueling 20-10 stat lines, but, Lillard gets hot late against the young Sixers backcourt. Embiid gets his revenge on Twitter though, racking up over 30k likes and 20k retweets on the plane ride home. | |||||||
35 | 30-Dec-2017 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | Atlanta Hawks | 96 | Win |
36 | 1-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | @ | Chicago Bulls | 99 | Win |
37 | 2-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 89 | @ | Cleveland Cavaliers | 101 | Loss |
38 | 5-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 115 | vs | Atlanta Hawks | 104 | Win |
39 | 7-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 101 | vs | San Antonio Spurs | 104 | Loss |
40 | 9-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 96 | @ | Oklahoma City Thunder | 111 | Loss |
41 | 10-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 102 | @ | Houston Rockets | 122 | Loss |
Rough start to the road trip as the Blazers drop their third straight game, this time to James Harden, Chris Paul and the Houston Flop-ets, er… Rockets. Harden and Paul combine for 67 points. Miraculously, 65 of them come from the free throw line. Even more shocking, it’s only their fourth highest combined total of the season. | |||||||
42 | 12-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 112 | @ | New Orleans Pelicans | 111 | Win |
43 | 14-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 96 | @ | Minnesota Timberwolves | 102 | Loss |
44 | 16-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 95 | vs | Phoenix Suns | 96 | Loss |
45 | 18-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 118 | vs | Indiana Pacers | 104 | Win |
46 | 20-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | vs | Dallas Mavericks | 99 | Win |
47 | 22-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 104 | @ | Denver Nuggets | 103 | Win |
Nikola Jokic gets the best of former teammate Nurkic, putting up 19 points en route to his third triple-double of the season. However, it’s still not enough as Lillard explodes for 18 in the 4th quarter for the come from behind victory. Pat Connaughton, meanwhile, doesn’t remember the dramatic finish, after accidentally eating from the wrong plate of “brownies” from the local media buffet. | |||||||
48 | 24-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 121 | vs | Minnesota Timberwolves | 118 | Win |
49 | 26-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 109 | @ | Dallas Mavericks | 100 | Win |
50 | 30-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 101 | @ | Los Angeles Clippers | 103 | Loss |
51 | 31-Jan-2018 | Trail Blazers | 115 | vs | Chicago Bulls | 96 | Win |
52 | 2-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 101 | @ | Toronto Raptors | 111 | Loss |
Blazers drop a tough one to start a quick Eastern Conference swing, as DeMar DeRozen abuses the smaller Portland guards. But the real story is that Nurkic doesn’t make the trip, as Trump’s fifth try at a Muslim travel ban is rumored to be set to go into effect over the weekend, and Nurk doesn’t want to get stuck in Canada because “Drake sucks and maple syrup is overrated.” | |||||||
53 | 4-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 103 | @ | Boston Celtics | 108 | Loss |
54 | 5-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 107 | @ | Detroit Pistons | 102 | Win |
55 | 8-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 107 | vs | Charlotte Hornets | 102 | Win |
56 | 9-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 110 | @ | Sacramento Kings | 100 | Win |
57 | 11-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 96 | vs | Utah Jazz | 95 | Win |
58 | 14-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 114 | vs | Golden State Warriors | 118 | Loss |
59 | 23-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 99 | @ | Utah Jazz | 102 | Loss |
60 | 24-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | @ | Phoenix Suns | 110 | Loss |
The Blazers drop their annual game to an overmatched Suns squad, as noted Blazer-killer Troy Daniels has a career high 34, including the game winner. On a bright note, Meyers Leonard’s tan gets a much needed mid-winter boost in the Valley of the Sun. So, we got that going for us… which is nice. | |||||||
61 | 27-Feb-2018 | Trail Blazers | 106 | vs | Sacramento Kings | 98 | Win |
62 | 1-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 109 | vs | Minnesota Timberwolves | 118 | Loss |
63 | 3-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 103 | vs | Oklahoma City Thunder | 108 | Loss |
64 | 5-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 112 | @ | Los Angeles Lakers | 108 | Win |
65 | 6-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 123 | vs | New York Knicks | 96 | Win |
Damian Lillard drops half-a-hundred on the beleaguered Knicks… in 3 quarters, while Caleb Swanigan has 23 of his own, and Al-Faruq Aminu hits a career high seven 3-pointers. The Blazer bench unit of Shabazz Napier, Pat Connaughton, Jake Layman, Zach Collins and Meyers Leonard play the entirety of the 4th quarter, getting outscored 34-11 to set the final margin. | |||||||
66 | 9-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 110 | vs | Golden State Warriors | 121 | Loss |
67 | 12-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 104 | vs | Miami Heat | 100 | Win |
68 | 15-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 99 | vs | Cleveland Cavaliers | 98 | Win |
After the Blazers get off to a slow start, Zach Collins has his coming out party with a big 3rd quarter on his way to a career night of 19 points, 11 rebounds and 3 blocks, and the Blazers take down the East-leading Cavs. LeBron does his thing down the stretch, but, misses a chance at a game winning layup as Nurkic bodies him up and to the shock of the crowd, the refs let it slide. | |||||||
69 | 17-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 104 | vs | Detroit Pistons | 106 | Loss |
70 | 18-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | @ | Los Angeles Clippers | 104 | Win |
71 | 20-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 118 | vs | Houston Rockets | 126 | Loss |
72 | 23-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 101 | vs | Boston Celtics | 104 | Loss |
73 | 25-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | @ | Oklahoma City Thunder | 119 | Loss |
74 | 27-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 101 | @ | New Orleans Pelicans | 106 | Loss |
Portland jumps out to an early double-digit lead and look poised to get a big late season road win… until DeMarcus Cousins sees Meyers Leonard hiding in the 2nd row with the Groucho Marx fake nose and glasses. “Hey, [expletives deleted], you’re still on this team?!” Cousins exclaims, before proceeding to rack up 42 and 18 for the come-from-behind victory. | |||||||
75 | 28-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 114 | @ | Memphis Grizzlies | 102 | Win |
76 | 30-Mar-2018 | Trail Blazers | 108 | vs | Los Angeles Clippers | 104 | Win |
77 | 1-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 106 | vs | Memphis Grizzlies | 100 | Win |
78 | 3-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 113 | @ | Dallas Mavericks | 110 | Win |
79 | 5-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | Houston Rockets | 122 | Loss |
80 | 7-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 94 | @ | San Antonio Spurs | 102 | Loss |
81 | 9-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 106 | @ | Denver Nuggets | 108 | Loss |
82 | 11-Apr-2018 | Trail Blazers | 103 | vs | Utah Jazz | 102 | Win |
After a hard-fought battle with division rival Utah, CJ McCollum seals the deal with a deep 3 with under 2 seconds left on the clock to clinch the win, and the 7th seed in the playoffs, avoiding the 70-win Warriors in the first round. Thus, the Blazers actually have a chance in the 1st round…. to not get swept. Hey, gotta celebrate the small victories when the West is this loaded. |
Final Record: 45-37 (7th place in West)
Home Record: 27-14
Road Record: 18-23
Points Per Game (scored): 106.0
Points Per Game (allowed): 104.8
Point Differential: +1.2