Record: 2-1
Unit +-: +.83
Maryland +24.5 vs Oregon (-115 on ESPNBET)
Oregon has been excellent against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 5-3 ATS record, including an impressive 4-0 run in their last four games. However, I believe this dominant streak will come to an end this Saturday. While Oregon is likely to win, a 24.5-point spread feels a bit too high for the Ducks to cover.
Maryland is coming off a rough 25-point loss against Minnesota in their last outing, making this an ideal opportunity to “sell high” on Oregon and “buy low” on the Terrapins. Despite their defensive struggles, Maryland ranks in the top 15 in passing offense, and they’ve had extra time to prepare, coming off a bye week. The extra time to prepare, combined with star pass catcher Tez Johnson being sidelined due to an injury, creates a favorable opportunity for Maryland’s defense. I expect Maryland to put up enough points and string together just enough defensive stops to stay within the 24.5-point spread.
Trail Blazers Team Total Under 104 Points (-110 on ESPNBET)
Portland has struggled to score this season, recording fewer than 104 points in five of their nine games so far. Now, they face a tough Minnesota defense that ranked 4th in team defense last season. To make matters worse for the Blazers, this game is being held in Minnesota, where Portland is just 2-3 on the road this year, scoring under 104 points in two of those road games. With both teams coming off back-to-back games, I believe fatigue will favor a lower scoring output, making the under a solid play.
Scoot Henderson Over 4.5 Total Assists (+100 on ESPNBET)
Henderson has been consistently dishing out assists, surpassing the 4.5 mark in six of his last ten games and 12 of his last 15. As he continues to develop and gain confidence, this line might not stay at plus odds for long, so it’s a great time to capitalize on it. Additionally, the Timberwolves have allowed the 4th most assists per game to opposing point guards this season, setting up Henderson for a strong chance to exceed this total.
